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John
R. Talbott, previously a Goldman Sachs investment banker, is a bestselling
author and economic consultant. When the
housing prices started to skyrocket in 2003, he published The Coming Crash in the Housing Market correctly warning us that a
real estate bubble was forming. Then in
January 2006, he called the absolute peak of home prices in the US by releasing
a new book, Sell Now! The End of the
Housing Bubble.
John
R. Talbott, the person who accurately predicted the housing bubble and its
bust, now has a new prediction – IT IS THE TIME TO BUY A HOME! In a recent
article, Homes – Buy Now!, Talbott simply explains:
“I
have been waiting for more than five years to offer this advice. It is now time
in most cities across the country to buy a new home or refinance your existing
home with thirty-year fixed rate mortgage debt.”
He
goes on to explain that his conclusion is based on four different metrics, all
of which favor buying today:
§ Home Prices Relative to
Peak Prices During the Bubble
§ Home Prices Relative to
Construction Costs or Replacement Costs
§ Home Prices Relative to
Incomes and Rents
§ Home Prices in Real
Terms, Not US Dollar Terms
As
Realtors here in Sedona it is our job and goal to advise our clients on the
market. When is the best time to buy and
sell Real Estate. The actual bottom is
an impossibility to guess. Most people
never realize it until it is long underway.
But some professionals, such as John R. Talbott, have been able to point
the way successfully and consistently.
If you are a Buyer that has been waiting on the sidelines for the right
time, Mr. Talbott says it is now! And if
you are in a position that you MUST sell, then even though now is not the best
time for Sellers to get top dollar, you can be certain that, priced right,
there will be Buyers out there looking to purchase your property. Now is not the time to wait, NOW is the TIME
to ACT!
Call Debb Carl and Airen Sapp DEBnAIR at RE/MAX Sedona NOW!
Debb’s cell 928.301.1947
Airen’s cell 928.301.2568 info@debnairrealestate.com
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• 1,882 sq. ft., 2 bath, 3 bdrm 2 story
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MLS®
$299,000
- New Price
Vista Montana, West Sedona
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This Elegant Vista Montana Townhome has all the amenities. 3 bedroom and 2.75 baths each bedroom has it's own bathroom. There is a security system, central vac, bottom up top down honeycomb privacy blinds, a fireplace, and red rock views from the livingroom& diningroom downstairs and two bedrooms upstairs. It also has a two car garage and community pool. Close to shopping, restaurants and galleries, this is a great place to call home in West Sedona.
Property information
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As underwriting guidelines for lenders become more stringent, we need to re-examine what a good mortgage application looks like. As home buyers begin their search for a home, there are a few items they should be aware of that they can do to help get their loans approved (with the best possible terms), and, at the same time, lessen some of the stress that goes along with the mortgage process. 1. INCOME DOCUMENTS Most lenders want to see a full month of pay stubs and two years complete Federal Tax Returns. Assembling them ahead of time and holding on to every pay stub you get is a good idea even before you find a home and/or submit your mortgage application because it will save you time later. Moreover, looking at those documents and being prepared to explain any deductions that show up is crucial. Child support, alimony, garnishments, and not reimbursed Employee Expenses are often crippling factors that, if explained and dealt with upfront, can make your loan approval smoother. 2. ASSET DOCUMENTS Most lenders will scour your bank accounts for the two months prior to going to contract. They are lookng for large deposits because large deposits can signal a new loan that wouldn't show up on your credit report yet. What's a "large deposit"? Typically, any deposit that would represent more than your income can support. If you make $5000 a month, after taxes you likely net $3800 (or $1900 a bi-weekly pay period). Therefore, deposits in excess of that will need to be explained and documented. Sold a motorcycle? Have a paid receipt and motor vehicle documents in place. Received a gift? You will need a Gift Affidavit, proof of the donor's ability and transfer of the funds. Any and all questions should be discussed with your loan officer. 3. CREDIT SCORE OPTIMIZATION Do your best to curtail your use of credit as it relates to your available credit lines. Target a cap of 30% of usage of available lines to get the best scores. DO NOT cancel credit cards. That will lower your amount of available credit, thereby raising your percentage of usage. That will damage your score. DO NOT shop for a car, explore life insurance, apply for a new credit card or increase the limits on your current cards because the running of your credit by people in other industries will also lower your credit score. Most importantly, DON'T DO ANYTHING that will require having your credit run without first discussing it with a mortgage professional who knows the impact it could have. 4. APPRAISAL CONCERNS It's unlikely you will make an offer to purchase without checking out comparable home sales. It's also likely you received that type of data from the real estate agent you are working with. Make sure your agent prepares the same information for the appraiser. Data about similar sales, similar homes currently on the market and maybe even cost estimates for any repairs or improvements anticipated can preempt future problems with appraised values and conditions. Overall, it is recommended that you hold onto copies of everything financial, think before allowing your credit to be run and work with an agent and loan officer who can use their experience to put your loan application in it's best possible light....as soon as you start thinking about buying a home!
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Existing-home sales increased in August, even with ongoing tight lending policies. Monthly gains were seen in all regions. Total Existing Home Sales, which are completed transactions that include single family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, rose 7.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.03 million in August from an upwardly revised 4.67 million in July, and are 18.6 percent higher than the 4.24 million unit level in August 2010. Investors accounted for 22 percent of purchase activity in August, up from 18 percent in July and 21 percent in August 2010. First-time buyers purchased 32 percent of homes in August, unchanged from July, they were 31 percent in August 2010. All cash sales accounted for 29 percent of transactions in August, unchanged from July; they were 28 percent in August 2010; investors account for the bulk of cash purchases. Total housing inventory at the end of August fell 3.0 percent to the 3.58 milllion existing homes available for sale, which represents an 8.5 month supply at the current sales price, down from a 9.5 month supply in July. What happened to Rates Last Week? Mortgage backed securities MBS gained 178 basis points last week which helped to move mortgage rates much lower from last Friday to the prior Friday. Mortgage rates moved lower in response to the FED's announcement that they would move from purchasing shorter term Treasuries to buying longer term Treasuries. They also announced that they would purchase more mortgage backed securities with the principal that they are receiving on their current mortgage backed security holdings. The best interest reates were on Thursday afternoon. On Friday mortgage rates started to climb back up from their lows. What this means to you? This is the perfect time to buy Real Estate! For more information contact DEBnAIR at RE/MAX Sedona your Real Estate Professionals. DEBnAIR RE/MAX Sedona 928.301.1947 or 928.301.2568 toll free at 800.282.4166 info@debnairrealestate.com
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In the Real Estate market here in Sedona and the Verde Valley, just as it is anywhere else in the country we always look to the stats to tell us which way the trends are going. Compiling numbers from established data replaces the not so trustworthy crystal ball. And the good news is 2011 stats are promising! The number of homes on the market in the Sedona / Verde Valley areas began to shrink in 2011. That “tightening,” is a good sign that real estate in the Sedona area is growing compared to 2009 and 2010. When it comes to a recovering market one of the indicators experts examine is how many homes are for sale in a specific area. “The best houses are being sold. It’s harder to find the good deal that really works for the client and if we do find them there are generally several offers on such a property. These are signs that the market is beginning to turn. Sedona is a wonderful place to live and with interest rates being what they are now is definitely a great time to purchase real estate in Sedona. To get the really great deals you need to be ready and waiting! The really good deals are not just sitting on the market anymore. If you have any questions regarding the Sedona / Verde Valley Real Estate Market Contact Debb Carl and Airen Sapp DEBnAIR at RE/MAX Sedona Now! Debb’s Cell 928.301.1947 Airen’s Cell 928.301.2568 or debnair@esedona.net
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• 2,697 sq. ft., 2 bath, 4 bdrm 2 story
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MLS®
$329,000
Northview, Sedona - Yavapai County
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There are three bedrooms and 1.75 baths on the second floor. It has a beautiful new kitchen with granite counter tops, tile floors, all new appliances and new kitchen cabinets. The Master Bedroom has an all new large full bathroom with separate tub and shower, sinks and vanity. All new carpet, tile and a wrap around deck in the front of the house with views of the Mogollon. Downstairs is a one bedroom with a full bath, a demi kitchen with granite countertops, sinks, new cabinets and a new microwave. This lower level apartment has it's own entrance.
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If
you plan on moving anytime in 2011, you should strongly consider selling
your house now rather than waiting. Here are five reasons
why:
1.) This is when your
house will get the most exposure
The
spring, and particularly the month of May, is when most buyers enter the
real estate market. This surge of buyers dramatically increases the
exposure for your house . The best chance of getting quality offers
(perhaps even multiple offers) is RIGHT NOW!
2.) Foreclosures and
short sales will increase in about 90 days
The
good news is that the number of people paying their mortgage on time is
increasing. This will lead to less distressed property sales later this
year and throughout 2012. The not-so-good news is that there is still a
large inventory of existing foreclosures and short sales that will still
be coming to market.
As
an example, LPS reported in
their latest Mortgage
Monitor that:
§
There
are still twice as many loans going 90+ days delinquent as are starting
foreclosure
§
There
are almost three times the number of foreclosure starts as there are
foreclosure sales
§
Distressed
property inventory levels are almost 45 times the rate of monthly
foreclosure sales
This
means that there is a backlog of properties which will start coming to the
market in about 90 days as banks clear up their paperwork challenges.
These properties sell at dramatic discounts. They will be your
competition. Both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have recently discussed
the magnitude of this challenge.
3.) Interest rates
have risen over the last six months
Interest
rates have stabilized recently. However, in the last six months, interest
rates have climbed over 1/2%. Every time the rates increase 1/4%,
approximately 250,000 buyers are eliminated from qualifying for a
mortgage. In an environment of volatile rates, waiting could mean that
there will be fewer buyers eligible to purchase your house. It also could
mean that you will pay a higher rate on the next home you
buy.
4.) Qualifying for a
mortgage is about to get even more difficult
Besides
increasing rates, there are other factors that will hinder a buyer’s
ability to qualify for a mortgage as we move forward. Lending standards
have been getting tighter over the last year. And as the government
debates the new proposed guidelines (QRM), banks
are gearing up for even more stringent standards.
Morgan
Stanley
recently stated:
“Recent
developments in issues such as GSE reform, Dodd-Frank securitization
rules, and foreclosure settlement issues suggest a tighter and more
expensive environment for mortgage credit.”
This
may impact any potential purchaser for your property and may also impact
your next purchase.
5.) It’s time to get
on with your life
Probably
the most important reason to sell is so you can get on with your life. You
placed your home on the market for a reason. Do not allow a
less-than-stellar housing market prevent you from reaching your goals as
an individual or as a family. Think about the reasons you decided to move
in the first place. Are these reasons still important to you? If you have
to take less than you were originally hoping to get for your house, your
family has a question to ask each other: Is the dollar difference in sales
price worth putting off our plans? Only you and your family know the
answer to that question.
Bottom
Line
If
you plan to sell this year, the reasons above prove that selling now makes
more sense than waiting to later in the year. Sit with a real estate
professional in your area today to fully understand your best
option. Debb Carl and Airen Sapp, AKA DEBnAIR have worked together as a team for
20 years and are among the leading Sedona Realtors providing
excellent service in Sedona Real Estate sales in Sedona and throughout the Verde Valley. You can contact Debb and Airen at http://www.debnairrealestate.com.

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So you have purchased the home of your dreams in beautiful Sedona, Arizona, and now you are ready to start the process of moving. Believe it or not, there are many tasks to take into consideration when moving from one home to the next. Professionals, such as Sedona real estate agents or Sedona realtors have seen moves happen repetitively in their line of work. Here are some of their tips on making your move to Sedona as seamless and stress-free as possible.
STEP ONE: Decide first if you wish to move on your own, or if you will be choosing to use a moving company. The decision is completely up to you, but if deciding to hire, one should start getting quotes from movers up to eight weeks in advance.
Also, at the eight week mark, start using up groceries that still exist in your refrigerator and freezer. Food is difficult to move, and can get spoiled during the process. Consider it taking a hiatus from having to shop, and get creative with all that you have already purchased.
STEP TWO: Approximately five to six weeks before your moving date, start putting together boxes of items you can live without for a short period of time. Be sure to label what is in each box, on the box top and one of the box sides. Some families also choose to write which room the box should go into, upon being moved. This can save you the hassle of shifting boxes from room to room once they are already positioned.
Also within this time frame, start to inform utility companies of your move date, as well as your landlord (if you are renting). Most utility companies require an appointment to disconnect service, and it is best to get this scheduling out of the way.
STEP THREE: Approximately two weeks before your move to Sedona, Arizona, obtain change of address forms from the post office. These forms can be post-dated in most cases, so your mailperson is informed of the future change. This will help you from having your mail delivered late on account of confusion, after you have relocated.
Also at this time, it’s a good decision to schedule a charity pick-up or a disposal pick-up for goods you are choosing not to move to Sedona with you. Charities will typically schedule a pick-up time that works for you, as will a refuse-hauler. A refuse-hauler may charge to rid you of the trash you are leaving behind, while a charity van normally gathers items for free.
STEP FOUR: You’ve done it, and today is your moving day. You will soon be experiencing red rock views, amazing desert sunsets and a community eagerly ready to meet you. The last of your personal items should be packed away the morning of your move, and placed within your own vehicle. This way, in the confusion of moving, you will know where these items are. Be sure to lock all windows, doors, and do a quick cleaning upon leaving the sold location. Unplug all appliances, and double check all drawers for items you may have left behind.
After the move has taken place, be sure to take a few moments to relax, and absorb your first moments as an owner of Sedona Real Estate. Visualize where you may want to place artwork, furniture, etc. Step into your yard and enjoy the warm weather. Smile and congratulate yourself. You are officially a Sedona Arizona Home Owner.
Debb Carl and Airen Sapp, AKA DEBnAIR have worked together as a team for 20 years and are among the leading Sedona Realtors providing excellent service in Sedona Real Estate sales in Sedona and throughout the Verde Valley. You can contact Debb and Airen at http://www.debnairrealestate.com.
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Sedona, Arizona is said to be one of the top ten most beautiful places in all of the world. With its red rock mountains and its lush green desert landscape, Sedona land has always been a worthy investment for families and investors alike. This is not only because of the beauty that lies within Sedona, Arizona itself, but also because of the limited supply of Sedona land for sale.
Sedona is a unique area, as the land for sale is completely limited. The area itself has been noted to only support a little over seventeen thousand individuals within it. This only makes for close to three thousand and nine hundred acres of land to build upon.
As of 2001, a little over sixty percent of that land was already built out. If the trend of purchasing Sedona land for sale continues, it is predicted that by 2015, all of the property will have been purchased and built upon.
Once this land has come and gone, the demand will skyrocket even more than it already has. With our current economic status, Sedona land for sale is even more affordable than ever before. As investors now begin to scout the land, it is always in ones best interest to find a realty team that knows the area and the market. Making your perfect choice in investing in Sedona land for sale, will only offer you a more of a profitable return in the future.
With all available land in Sedona predicted to be owned and built upon within the next four years, who doesn’t want to get a piece of this pie? Celebrities have already taken claim to their beautiful piece of Sedona, Arizona, as they continue to invest in the red rocks for serenity and a landscape unlike any other in the world.
With beautiful weather year round and tourism growing each day, investors and families alike are eagerly searching the area for a worthy investment. Why haven’t you made your purchase of Sedona land for sale? Remember, supply is slim, demand is high, and the return on investment is definite.
Debb Carl and Airen Sapp, AKA DEBnAIR have worked together as a team for 20 years and are among the leading Sedona Realtors providing excellent service in Sedona real estate sales in Sedona and throughout the Verde Valley. You can contact Debb and Airen at www.debnairrealestate.com.
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Mortgage interest rates are ever changing due to the status of the economy. There are several other factors that effect interest rates related to mortgages. To understand what effects an interest rate is to understand why it is consistently fluctuating.
What effects a mortgage interest rate?
There are several factors can that influence a change in rate. First there are bonds. The general term bond in this case relates to mortgage backed securities. It is a simple formula in that when a bond sells for less, the interest rates will increase. When a bond sells for more, interest rates will then decrease. As we are currently in a state of flux with our economic status, rates are changing from week to week.
Why are mortgage interest rates continually unstable? Even due to changes in mortgage backed securities, emotions are truly the most swaying factor in interest rate determinations. Individuals who may read about stocks, employment/unemployment data, and economic information are effected by this news. Even hearing about a mass set of purchases within a certain state or county can influence others to consider the purchase of a home. People effect people. A trend, is just that, a trend. This is why interest rates can not only change from week to week, but also from day to day, and even hourly.
In this, supply and demand becomes an issue that also effects interest rates for mortgages. In a location such as Milwaukee, Wisconsin, where there are often several homes for sale on a consistent basis, there may not be as much of a demand for a home purchase as say in Sedona, Arizona. The availability of homes for sale in beautiful Sedona, Arizona are few and far between, increasing the want and overall demand for real estate in the area.
Additional factors such as growth in GDP (gross domestic product), inflation and prices of oil can also make slight changes to interest rates affecting mortgages.
As of today, there has been a drop in interest rates. This has encouraged those looking to purchase a home to act quickly. It is also encouraging those who were looking to sell their home, to make pricing adjustments, and/or get their property on the market.
It is always in a buyer or seller’s best interest to be informed, but to also be prepared for interest rates to drop so they can make their move. By getting pre-approved for a home loan, one can then watch interest rate trends, and purchase when the time is right. Additionally, finding an informative realtor to aid in your purchase or sale can also prove to be a good decision.
Debb Carl and Airen Sapp, AKA DEBnAIR have worked together as a team for 20 years and are among the leading Sedona Realtors providing excellent service in Sedona Real Estate sales in Sedona and throughout the Verde Valley. You can contact Debb and Airen at http://www.debnairrealestate.com.
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Despite the bad press foreclosures are receiving lately on the news due to banks and lenders sloppy documentation, the number of new foreclosures is still at a high.
While some have rumored a freeze on foreclosures, according to “The Hill” on October 11, 2010, Freddie Mac has not called for a moratorium on foreclosures and probably won’t do so. What they have done is began investigations into banks and their documentation problems.
What does this mean for the average citizen? For those who can’t afford their homes, it doesn’t mean a whole lot. These homeowners are still hitting walls trying to modify their loans. When that doesn’t work, they have to face the process required in foreclosing.
For the buyer, this means lower home prices. In luxury communities such as Sedona, Arizona where home prices only go up, this means right now it a great time to get the bargain of the century.
Let’s begin by explaining what a foreclosure is before we talk about bargains. Foreclosures are often confused with short sales. So, this is what a foreclosure is how it occurs.
A home goes into foreclosure when a lending institute takes back ownership of a property that it carries a lien on. This taking back is usually done when the borrower is not making payments. The process a lending institute follows begins with the borrower receiving notice. If the borrower does nothing, the property is sent to a trustee sale or public auction. Few homes are sold at these auctions, possibly due to the fact that the bank is starting the auction price at the loan amount. With many homes upside down, this doesn’t give the buyer any real discounted value.
After the auction, if the property has not sold, it will then be listed on the MLS, just as a normal listing would and under a realtor. The difference between a foreclosed MLS listing and a standard listing is that in addition to one having to fill out a standard sales contract, there is an addendum that is included by the lending institute. The addendum should be carefully read and understood as it can take away the rights a buyer would have in a standard contract. Addendums usually include statements such as - buyer is buying house ‘as is’. Buying a home ‘as is’ almost nullifies the value of an inspection report. If an inspector determines the house is in need of repair, the bank can insist that it will not make any.
The addendum can also include the right for the lender or bank to cancel the contract at any point before Close of Escrow if a better offer comes in.
Now, if you are willing to accept these conditions, then buying a foreclosure in a high-end luxury community can be one of the best investments you can make right now. With that said, know that other folks also know that buying foreclosures in such communities is a great investment and will make counter-offers to your offer on a foreclosure. But with an experienced professional realtor on your side, someone who knows the surrounding area and its pricing, they can assist you in not over-bidding on your home.
Buying a foreclosure doesn’t have to be daunting or difficult. Do your homework, speak to a professional realtor and be prepared to have some patience - and with that, you too can walk away with the home of your dreams in the community of your dreams within your price range.
Debb Carl and Airen Sapp, AKA DEBnAIR have worked together as a team for 20 years and are among the leading Remax Sedona Real Estate Agents providing excellent service in Sedona Real Estate sales in Sedona and throughout the Verde Valley. You can contact Debb and Airen at http://www.debnairrealestate.com.
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Coffee Pot Subdivision, West Sedona
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The single story at 105 Little Elf Drive has been sold.
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Harmony Knolls, West Sedona
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The single story at 2555 Leisure Lane has been sold.
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West Sedona, Sedona - Yavapai County
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The 3-level split at 1650 Fabulous Texan Way has been sold.
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• 1,440 sq. ft., 2 bath, 3 bdrm single story
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MLS®
$175,000
Harmony Hills, Sedona - Yavapai County
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This Newly Renovated Manufactured Home sits on a Great Corner Lot facing Incredible Red Rock Views! New Kitchen Cabinets, New Carpet, New Vinyl, New Bathtub insert in Master Bath, New Light Fixtures, New Honey Comb Up and Down View Blinds, New Deck, New Backyard Courtyard, New AC Unit, New Appliances and Everything Freshly Painted! All you have to do is Move In! Owner may carry with 40% down and Seller Approval of Buyers Credit.
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